They noted that the exercises of the Belarusian military are aimed at creating threats to the Ukrainian border regions.
It is unlikely that the dictator Alexander Lukashenka will enter the war against Ukraine on behalf of the Russian Federation.
About it says in the summary of the Institute of Warfare (ISW).
Analysts noted that Belarus and the Russian Federation maintain close military cooperation, but the exercises of the Belarusian military are likely in part to threaten Ukraine.
“These exercises are undoubtedly intended to create and threaten the Ukrainian border areas, but are unlikely to warn of real participation in hostilities,” the ISW concluded.
Analysts stressed that the self-proclaimed president of Belarus, Lukashenko, cannot afford to draw on already limited military resources for the war because of “internal consequences.”
Analysts added that Belarusian forces without support are unlikely to be effective, and Russia does not have the reserves needed for a new offensive on Kyiv.
As UNIAN reported earlier today, ISW said that Russian troops probably control the highway T1302 Bakhmut-Lysichansk, cutting off the line supply of Ukrainian forces in Lysichansk.